Real Madrid 3-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.77
2-3 Goals
36%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
16%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.5
X/1
12%
3.49
X/2
5%
32.5
X/X
7%
11.3
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
6%
24.0
2/X
5%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.2pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.0pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
2.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.20
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
542 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
40.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
19.3 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Valladolid
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.04 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
516 Passes 264
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 6-0 HT 4-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
30.12.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
20.02.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.09.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
26.01.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
24.08.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3-0
AWAY Valladolid
2.14 xG 0.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
594 Passes 293
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid swept aside Valladolid 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid had 64% of the ball to Valladolid's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.14 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Madrid and 0.17 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Valladolid?

Real Madrid 3-0 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 66%, draw 18%, Valladolid 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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