Leganes 2-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
16%
3.47
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.97
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.15/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.59
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.6 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
222 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
09.09.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.03.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-2 HT 3-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.11.2021 Leganes Leganes 4-1 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
24.01.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
12.09.2020 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
2-1
AWAY Las Palmas
1.48 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
255 Passes 417
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes edged past Las Palmas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Leganes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leganes had 40% of the ball to Las Palmas's 60%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.48 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leganes and 1.33 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Las Palmas?

Leganes 2-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leganes 38%, draw 30%, Las Palmas 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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