Espanyol 2-1 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.27
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.49
6+
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.4
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
13%
8.77
X/X
8%
4.95
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.88
2/X
8%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla The Market 26%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.34/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.0 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sevilla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 413
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
25.10.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 3-2 HT 1-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
10.09.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-3 HT 1-3 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.02.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.09.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Sevilla
1.09 xG 1.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 13
169 Passes 415
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol squeezed past Sevilla 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Espanyol as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Espanyol had 33% of the ball to Sevilla's 67%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.09 to 1.82 — on chances, Sevilla could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Espanyol and 2.00 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Espanyol 2-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 44%, draw 26%, Sevilla 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✓ BTTS Yes
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