Cacereno 4-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.17/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.31
-2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.11.2025 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
4-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno ran out comfortable winners over Real Madrid II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cacereno had 40% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 60%, shots finished 18-13.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Real Madrid II?

Cacereno 4-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 32%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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