Barakaldo 2-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 9 May 2026

Barakaldo
2-0 HT 1-0
Merida AD
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Barakaldo vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barakaldo v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.69/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.54
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Barakaldo vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3

Barakaldo 2-0 Merida AD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
2-0
AWAY Merida AD
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo got the better of Merida AD 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Barakaldo had 61% of the ball to Merida AD's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Merida AD?

Barakaldo 2-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 53%, draw 27%, Merida AD 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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