La Serena 2-4 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — ŞİLİLK, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 38%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.32 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
270 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2026 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-1 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİLK
25.10.2025 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
05.05.2025 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
06.11.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-0 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.05.2022 La Serena La Serena 3-2 HT 2-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
26.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
2-4
AWAY Audax Italiano
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano beat La Serena 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Audax Italiano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, La Serena had 53% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for La Serena and 2.17 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Audax Italiano?

La Serena 2-4 Audax Italiano in the ŞİLİLK on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Serena 37%, draw 25%, Audax Italiano 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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