SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
6%
9.06
X/X
11%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.15
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.64/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.89
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.8 Crosses 17.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
07.02.2026 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
07.11.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
29.10.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
13.04.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-4 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
01.09.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
2-1
AWAY Dender EH
2.69 xG 2.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
314 Passes 263
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem nicked a narrow win over Dender EH 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 52% of the ball to Dender EH's 48%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.69 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 1.00 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Dender EH?

SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 57%, draw 23%, Dender EH 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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