La Louvière 4-1 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.97
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
9%
5.34
X/2
9%
6.72
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
22.25
2/2
17%
4.23
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.69/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.39
-90% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
28.6 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 2.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 408
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 2-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
15.03.2026 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-3 HT 0-1 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
02.11.2025 La Louvière La Louvière 2-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
4-1
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.55 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
249 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière cruised past Cercle Brugge 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; La Louvière found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, La Louvière had 44% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.55 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, La Louvière had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for La Louvière and 1.67 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?

La Louvière 4-1 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 39%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ BTTS Yes
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