Rudar Prijedor 2-4 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Prijedor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.81/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.96
-19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Prijedor
1W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
29.08.2025 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
10.04.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 6-0 HT 2-0 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
30.10.2021 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 1-1 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
08.08.2021 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
POST-MATCH Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo beat Rudar Prijedor 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Rudar Prijedor and 2.20 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo?

Rudar Prijedor 2-4 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rudar Prijedor 35%, draw 24%, FK Sarajevo 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
9 May 2026
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