Posusje 1-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posusje EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.46/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.48
-14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posusje
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Velez Mostar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2026 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
23.11.2025 Posusje Posusje 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
30.08.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-1 HT 0-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
17.04.2025 Posusje Posusje 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
16.03.2025 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
26.10.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Posusje
1-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Posusje vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posusje and Velez Mostar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Posusje carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Posusje had 48% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Posusje and 0.83 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Posusje vs Velez Mostar?

Posusje 1-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posusje vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Posusje win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Posusje 57%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Posusje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Posusje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
9 May 2026
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