Velez Mostar 3-0 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.53/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.77
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Posusje
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
03.03.2024 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.10.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
18.02.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSK
30.09.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
15.07.2022 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar ran out comfortable winners over Posusje 3-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Velez Mostar found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.67 for Posusje.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Velez Mostar 3-0 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 39%, draw 25%, Posusje 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
26 Oct 2024
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