Velez Mostar 0-1 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.91/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.43
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Posusje
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.04.2025 Posusje Posusje 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
16.03.2025 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
26.10.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
03.05.2024 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
03.03.2024 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.10.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posusje edged past Velez Mostar 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Velez Mostar at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.83 for Posusje.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Velez Mostar 0-1 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 60%, draw 23%, Posusje 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Mostar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
30 Aug 2025
18:00 Sloga Doboj vs Zeljeznicar Analysis →