Naesby 5-0 Horsholm-Usserod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.64
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+5.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.4pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.42/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.18
+36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.03.2026 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 1-1 Horsholm-Usserod DAN3
30.08.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 1-1 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
5-0
AWAY Horsholm-Usserod
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 0
12 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby swept aside Horsholm-Usserod 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Naesby had 61% of the ball to Horsholm-Usserod's 39%, shots finished 16-0.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Naesby and 1.00 for Horsholm-Usserod.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Naesby 5-0 Horsholm-Usserod in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Horsholm-Usserod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Naesby 62%, draw 17%, Horsholm-Usserod 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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