BVV Barendrecht 4-2 Hoek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
56%
Away Win
56%
-0.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.9pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoek EU Bookmakers 61%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.76/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
+25% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Hoek Hoek 1-1 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
4-2
AWAY Hoek
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Hoek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht saw off Hoek 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hoek at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 46% of the ball to Hoek's 54%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Hoek?

BVV Barendrecht 4-2 Hoek in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Hoek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 21%, draw 23%, Hoek 56%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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