Rijnsburgse Boys 4-2 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
65%
-3.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
2.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.99
+15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-4 HT 1-1 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
19.04.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-3 HT 1-2 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
16.11.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
16.03.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 HT 1-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
4-2
AWAY Jong Sparta
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys saw off Jong Sparta 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 57% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 43%, shots finished 19-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 2.00 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-2 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 62%, draw 16%, Jong Sparta 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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