Jong Sparta 2-4 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
29%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.90/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.38
+37% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-3 HT 1-2 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
16.11.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
16.03.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 HT 1-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-4
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 27
9 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys beat Jong Sparta 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 54% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 46%, shots finished 17-27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 1.67 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Jong Sparta 2-4 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 29%, draw 25%, Rijnsburgse Boys 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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