Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Mar 2024

Rijnsburgse Boys
1-4 HT 1-2
Jong Sparta
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie – 2023/2024

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rijnsburgse Boys v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 36%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.48
-37% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta cruised past Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jong Sparta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 38%, draw 22%, Jong Sparta 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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