HHC Hardenberg 2-0 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
177 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2017 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 2-0 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2-0
AWAY SV Spakenburg
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg beat SV Spakenburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was SV Spakenburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 40% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 60%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg?

HHC Hardenberg 2-0 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 36%, draw 21%, SV Spakenburg 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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