Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 58%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.51
-60% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY GVVV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.41 xG 0.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
255 Passes 384
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2019 GVVV GVVV 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2-0
AWAY GVVV
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis beat GVVV 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was GVVV at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 49% of the ball to GVVV's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV?

Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated an GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 26%, draw 21%, GVVV 52%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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