Jong Sparta 2-3 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
44%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
13%
+15.0pp
28%
Draw
17%
+10.8pp
44%
Away Win
70%
-25.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 75%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.45/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.04
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
16.03.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 HT 1-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-3
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys edged past Jong Sparta 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 44% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 56%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 1.00 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Jong Sparta 2-3 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 28%, draw 28%, Rijnsburgse Boys 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
19 Apr 2025
15:00 ADO 20 vs GVVV Analysis →
15:00 Koninklijke HFC vs Noordwijk Analysis →
15:30 BVV Barendrecht vs Quick Boys Analysis →
15:30 ACV vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
16:00 SV Spakenburg vs Scheveningen Analysis →
16:15 AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Almere City Analysis →