Koninklijke HFC 2-0 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.86/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.86
-51% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Noordwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 3-1 HT 2-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
13.01.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 1-1 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
19.08.2023 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-2 HT 1-2 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-0
AWAY Noordwijk
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC saw off Noordwijk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Koninklijke HFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 46% of the ball to Noordwijk's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Noordwijk led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 2.00 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Noordwijk?

Koninklijke HFC 2-0 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 38%, draw 24%, Noordwijk 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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