Noordwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
16%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 40%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.17/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.08
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.01.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 1-1 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
19.08.2023 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-2 HT 1-2 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
3-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk got the better of Koninklijke HFC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Noordwijk made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Noordwijk had 53% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 47%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Noordwijk and 1.50 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Noordwijk 3-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 29%, draw 32%, Koninklijke HFC 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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