Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
33%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-17.6pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
16%
+16.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.68/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/2.13
+81% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
16.03.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-4 HT 1-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
1-0
AWAY Jong Sparta
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys nicked a narrow win over Jong Sparta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijnsburgse Boys as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 64% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 36%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Rijnsburgse Boys 1-0 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 47%, draw 20%, Jong Sparta 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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