Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.44
-60% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.46 xG 2.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
196 Passes 331
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 32
3 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
04.05.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
25.11.2023 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
13.10.2018 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 4-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-1
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis and AFC Amsterdamsche shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 52% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.25 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 34%, draw 28%, AFC Amsterdamsche 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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