Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
52%
Away Win
59%
-6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.5pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.63/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
225 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.46 xG 2.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
196 Passes 331
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 32
3 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
04.05.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
25.11.2023 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
13.10.2018 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 4-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-2
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche saw off Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 50% of the ball to AFC Amsterdamsche's 50%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 2.33 for AFC Amsterdamsche.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 24%, draw 24%, AFC Amsterdamsche 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
14 Dec 2024
16:30 RKAV Volendam vs BVV Barendrecht Analysis →
16:30 ACV vs ADO 20 Analysis →
16:30 GVVV vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →
16:30 HHC Hardenberg vs Koninklijke HFC Analysis →
16:30 Noordwijk vs Rijnsburgse Boys Analysis →
17:00 Quick Boys vs Scheveningen Analysis →