GVVV 3-1 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.69
-100% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
0W-1D-2L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
413 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 GVVV GVVV 2-3 HT 2-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
02.12.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-1 HT 1-1 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
01.04.2017 GVVV GVVV 2-2 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
3-1
AWAY SV Spakenburg
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GVVV vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV got the better of SV Spakenburg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; GVVV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, GVVV had 39% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 61%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for GVVV and 3.00 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of GVVV vs SV Spakenburg?

GVVV 3-1 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GVVV 39%, draw 25%, SV Spakenburg 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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