AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.74/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.28 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
331 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
14.12.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
04.05.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
25.11.2023 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 2-2 HT 2-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
13.10.2018 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 4-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3-2
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche squeezed past Excelsior Maassluis 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 52% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 48%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Amsterdamsche had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 1.20 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Excelsior Maassluis?

AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 49%, draw 21%, Excelsior Maassluis 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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