Cerezo Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
3-1
HT 2-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP
2-0
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP2
1-2
HT 0-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
Cerezo Osaka 3-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka edged past V-Varen Nagasaki 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 66% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 34%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 3.54 to 2.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.20 for V-Varen Nagasaki.
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Cerezo Osaka 3-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 51%, draw 22%, V-Varen Nagasaki 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.