Mito HollyHock 1-4 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.79/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.26
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
14.0 Crosses 19.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
304 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP
14.08.2019 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-4
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.47 xG 2.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
302 Passes 641
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds cruised past Mito HollyHock 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 34% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 66%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.47 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mito HollyHock and 2.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Mito HollyHock 1-4 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 28%, draw 25%, Urawa Red Diamonds 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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