Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.98 — our 24% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.84/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.47
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.1 Crosses 12.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
14.08.2019 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.19 xG 0.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
341 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds got the better of Mito HollyHock 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 53% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 47%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.19 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Mito HollyHock?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 52%, draw 24%, Mito HollyHock 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ BTTS Yes
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