JEF United 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 58%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.21/3.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
-99% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
23.0 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
18.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United HAZ
20.10.2019 JEF United JEF United 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP2
15.08.2009 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.03.2009 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.03.2009 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
31.05.2008 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
2-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.35 xG 2.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
222 Passes 517
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 50
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over Kashiwa Reysol 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, JEF United had 33% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 67%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.35 to 2.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kashiwa Reysol.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for JEF United and 1.17 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Kashiwa Reysol?

JEF United 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split JEF United 26%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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