FC Tokyo 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.48/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.44
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.2 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 417
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-3 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
28.09.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
19.05.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
19.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.06.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-3 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
3-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.41 xG 0.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
331 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo ran out comfortable winners over Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Tokyo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 48% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 52%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.41 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.67 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

FC Tokyo 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 41%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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