Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.42/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.9 Crosses 17.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.88 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
388 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-4 HT 0-3 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 4-2 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
26.06.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
12.03.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
04.12.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
10.03.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.74 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
436 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-Pulse fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 59% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 41%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.74 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 40%, draw 27%, Shimizu S-Pulse 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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