Ruzomberok 4-3 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
7%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruzomberok EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.37/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.60
-37% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
23.8 Crosses 19.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruzomberok
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trencin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
197 Passes 324
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Trencin Trencin 3-1 HT 1-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
13.12.2025 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 0-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
13.09.2025 Trencin Trencin 0-3 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
10.05.2025 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok 1-0 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
12.04.2025 Trencin Trencin 2-2 HT 1-1 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
09.11.2024 Trencin Trencin 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruzomberok Ruzomberok SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruzomberok
4-3
AWAY Trencin
2.53 xG 2.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
192 Passes 256
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruzomberok vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruzomberok nicked a narrow win over Trencin 4-3. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ruzomberok as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ruzomberok had 46% of the ball to Trencin's 54%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.53 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruzomberok had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ruzomberok and 0.83 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Ruzomberok vs Trencin?

Ruzomberok 4-3 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruzomberok vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruzomberok win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruzomberok 47%, draw 26%, Trencin 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruzomberok), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruzomberok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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