AS Marsa 0-3 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 67%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.00/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.37
-100% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Marsa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2025 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1
19.04.2024 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TNUSK
05.11.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1B
27.08.2023 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
10.09.2022 AS Marsa AS Marsa 0-2 HT 0-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
28.02.2015 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-2 HT 1-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
0-3
AWAY CS Sfaxien
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien cruised past AS Marsa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CS Sfaxien as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Marsa had 42% of the ball to CS Sfaxien's 58%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AS Marsa and 1.67 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?

AS Marsa 0-3 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 16%, draw 27%, CS Sfaxien 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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