Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

Etoile Du Sahel
1-0 HT 1-0
CA Bizertin
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.29
No
67%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
44%
2.09
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
5.26
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.09 — our 44% vs market 38.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.1pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Du Sahel v CA Bizertin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -16%
1.15/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.21
+1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CA Bizertin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2025 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-1 HT 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
01.03.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
10.11.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
08.02.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-2 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
10.11.2022 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
24.03.2021 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 4-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Du Sahel edged past CA Bizertin 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Etoile Du Sahel as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.83 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin?

Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 53%, draw 29%, CA Bizertin 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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