Zarzis 1-0 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
6.43
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zarzis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.47/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.80
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +53%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
450 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zarzis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.11.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
06.04.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TNUSK
09.02.2025 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 1-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN1
29.09.2024 Zarzis Zarzis 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
26.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Zarzis Zarzis TUN
14.05.2022 Zarzis Zarzis 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zarzis
1-0
AWAY ES Metlaoui
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zarzis nicked a narrow win over ES Metlaoui 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zarzis had 52% of the ball to ES Metlaoui's 48%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zarzis and 0.50 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui?

Zarzis 1-0 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zarzis vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 50%, draw 34%, ES Metlaoui 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zarzis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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