Lexington 3-1 Monterey Bay — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — USL Championship, 9 May 2026

Lexington DLDWL→
3 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Monterey Bay DLLDL→
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Also in play: 3-0 · 3-2 — 10% together
USL Championship – 2026

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 16:38
Match Result
HomeVIEW
67%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.09
Away
14%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.49
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.09
6+
6%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Lexington v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lexington The Market 67%
Signal
AWAY Monterey Bay The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
Weak Attack Strength Weak
– Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Monterey Bay
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
326 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.06.2025 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 1-1 Lexington Lexington USLP
20.04.2025 Lexington Lexington 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP

Lexington 3-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
3 - 1
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.40 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
357 Passes 414
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Lexington vs Monterey Bay
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lexington had too much for Monterey Bay 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 50%.

Under the surface, Monterey Bay saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.40 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Lexington against 1.00 for Monterey Bay.

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Result & Final Score

Lexington 3 - 1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Lexington 67%, draw 19%, Monterey Bay 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5
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