Monterey Bay vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Monterey Bay 2-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past Lexington 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monterey Bay as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 43% of the ball to Lexington's 57%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.47 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monterey Bay's control.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Lexington?
Monterey Bay 2-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 41%, draw 26%, Lexington 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterey Bay), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.