Rhode Island 0-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.43/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.85
-37% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.7 Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Miami FC
5.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.85 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
331 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 8-1 HT 5-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
14.07.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
0-1
AWAY Miami FC
0.84 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
399 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miami FC nicked a narrow win over Rhode Island 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rhode Island carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rhode Island had 62% of the ball to Miami FC's 38%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.84 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rhode Island had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals for Rhode Island and 1.50 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Rhode Island 0-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 64%, draw 21%, Miami FC 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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