San Antonio 3-0 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.51/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.69
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.1 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
178 Passes 301
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
07.04.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
08.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
30.04.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
14.08.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
28.07.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-2 HT 0-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
3-0
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
3.15 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio ran out comfortable winners over Las Vegas Lights 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, San Antonio had 47% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 53%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.15 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Antonio and 0.67 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?

San Antonio 3-0 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 54%, draw 23%, Las Vegas Lights 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
8 Jun 2025
01:00 Loudoun United vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
02:00 Rhode Island vs Miami FC Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Detroit City Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs Colorado Springs Analysis →
05:00 Monterey Bay vs Lexington Analysis →