Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Louisville City v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Louisville City 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City shaded a tight game against Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Louisville City had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.80 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Louisville City and 1.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Louisville City 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 66%, draw 19%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.