Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 54% of the ball to Louisville City's 46%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.08 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.50 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 30%, draw 29%, Louisville City 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.