Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-2
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-4 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa cruised past Las Vegas Lights 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Las Vegas Lights at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 63% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 37%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.67 to 2.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.33 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Las Vegas Lights 1-4 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 43%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.