Miami FC vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Miami FC v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Miami FC vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Miami FC 2-1 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Miami FC edged past North Carolina 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Miami FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Miami FC had 45% of the ball to North Carolina's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.35 to 1.72.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, North Carolina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Miami FC and 4.00 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Miami FC vs North Carolina?
Miami FC 2-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Miami FC vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 31%, draw 29%, North Carolina 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North Carolina) went the other way.