Indy Eleven 1-3 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.0pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.26/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.3 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.53 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 5-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
14.04.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-4 HT 2-2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
22.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 5-0 HT 3-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.07.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
03.06.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-4 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
09.10.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
1-3
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.15 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
261 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Charleston Battery beat Indy Eleven 3-1 away from home in the USL Championship on 20 Apr 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 45% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 55%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.15 to 1.59.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Indy Eleven and 2.67 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Indy Eleven 1-3 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 40%, draw 28%, Charleston Battery 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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