Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lexington v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Lexington 0-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington and Monterey Bay played out a goalless draw. A game for the defenders, not the highlight reels.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lexington at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
On the day, Lexington had 49% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.70 to 0.79.
Lexington vs Monterey Bay Result & Final Score
Lexington 0 - 0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lexington 55%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lexington), BTTS Yes went the other way.