Lexington 0-0 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Apr 2025

Lexington
0-0 HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Lexington vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lexington v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.98/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
-39% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.5 Crosses 18.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lexington 0-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
0-0
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.70 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Monterey Bay played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lexington had 49% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.70 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Monterey Bay?

Lexington 0-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lexington 54%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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