Colorado Springs 1-1 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.61/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.0 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
22.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.05.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.05.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
16.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
06.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-4 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.19 xG 1.65
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
231 Passes 471
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and El Paso Locomotive shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 34% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 66%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.19 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive?

Colorado Springs 1-1 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 44%, draw 27%, El Paso Locomotive 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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