El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.19/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.54
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.1 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.38 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
344 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.05.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.05.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
16.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
06.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-4 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.08.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-4 HT 3-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2-2
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.36 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
302 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and Colorado Springs couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 55% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 45%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.36 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2.50 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 36%, draw 23%, Colorado Springs 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs)
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