El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.58
2-3 Goals
32%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 37% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.9pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 52%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.26
-47% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
15.0 Crosses 19.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.40 xG 1.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
339 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.05.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
16.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
06.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-4 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
13.08.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-4 HT 3-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.07.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-1
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.80 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and Colorado Springs couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 53% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 47%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.80 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 2.33 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 28%, draw 27%, Colorado Springs 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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